J'ai bien vu le redface, mais précisons tout de même au cas où : ce sont là les estimations en sortie des urnes, pas un sondage pré-électoral.
EDIT :
How accurate are exit polls?
How accurate are exit polls? Broadcasters have been commissioning exit polls at least since 1974 and in recent years they have been reliable, and sometimes extraordinarily accurate. But in the 1990s and earlier there were some bad misses.
Here are figures showing how they have performed in the past. The data comes from the elections analyst David Cowling.
2017
Wrong by 4. The combined BBC/ITV/Sky exit poll said the Conservatives would be 12 seats short of a majority, and they ended up eight seats short of a majority.
2015
Wrong by 22. It said the Conservatives would be 10 seats short of a majority, but they got a majority of 12.
2010
Spot on. It said the Conservatives would be 19 short of a majority, and they were.
2005
Spot on. It predicted a Labour majority of 66, which Labour got.
Message édité par Profil supprimé le 12-12-2019 à 23:15:30