based on all recent political and economic news in the USA , and also based on recent tweets from major crypto actors like trump, big influencers, policy makers,  do you think that today bitcoin price is going to go up, or down ?

Predicting Bitcoin's price movement for today, March 3, 2025, involves weighing recent political and economic developments in the U.S. alongside sentiments from major crypto figures, based on the latest available data.
 
On the political and economic front, Trump’s announcement yesterday, March 2, 2025, of a U.S. "Crypto Strategic Reserve" including Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Cardano has ignited a significant market rally. Bitcoin surged over 20% from last week's lows, reaching above $94,000 by Sunday afternoon, with other named cryptocurrencies like Cardano (up 66%) and XRP (up 28%) seeing even sharper gains. This move, tied to a January executive order and reinforced by Trump’s stated goal to make the U.S. the "crypto capital of the world," signals strong government backing, boosting market optimism. Reports suggest this reserve could involve proactive accumulation, not just holding seized assets, which analysts like Standard Chartered’s Geoff Kendrick see pushing Bitcoin toward $500,000 long-term.
 
However, skepticism exists—economists like Jason Furman question its value, calling it "dumb or corrupt," and some worry it could weaken the dollar or favor existing holders over broader economic benefits. Meanwhile, Trump’s recent tariffs on Canada and Mexico, effective March 1, sparked risk-asset sell-offs last week, though crypto rebounded as investors bought the dip ahead of the reserve news.
 
From major crypto actors on X, sentiment leans bullish. Trump’s posts on Truth Social (mirrored on X discussions) emphasize Bitcoin and Ethereum as "the heart of the Reserve," driving enthusiasm. Influencers like Scott Melker, who hosts "The Wolf of All Streets," have recently highlighted Bitcoin’s resilience—his February 25 post noted hedge funds exiting U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs could push BTC to $70,000, though prices have since climbed higher. Posts from figures like @AutismCapital on February 19 and 20 praised Trump’s crypto-friendly stance, tying Bitcoin’s all-time highs to his policies, while @BitcoinMagazine on February 18 noted national leaders, including Trump, can’t ignore Bitcoin as competitors accumulate it. These voices reflect a narrative of growing institutional and political momentum.
 
Today’s outlook: Bitcoin is likely to go up. The reserve announcement’s momentum, with prices already jumping 10-20% in the last 24-48 hours, suggests short-term bullishness persists into Monday, March 3. Market data shows Bitcoin breaking $93,000-$94,000, with technical indicators (e.g., Coingape’s March 2 report) hinting at a push towards $100,000 as short sellers retreat. However, volatility looms—tariff-related economic uncertainty and profit-taking after the weekend surge could cap gains or trigger a pullback. Still, the dominant catalyst today is Trump’s policy shift, likely outweighing broader economic headwinds in the immediate term.
 
This isn’t a crystal ball—crypto’s wild swings defy precision—but the balance of evidence points upward for now. What do you think about this take?
 

Puppeteering Markets and People for Personal/Family Gain

There’s a solid case here. Trump’s March 2 Crypto Strategic Reserve announcement—naming XRP, ADA, and SOL—sent their prices soaring: XRP up 37% to $2.95, ADA up 75% to over $1, SOL up 25% to $179, per CoinDesk and Forbes. This wasn’t random; it’s tied to his words, with a $300 billion market cap spike in hours. His family’s World Liberty Financial (WLFI), launched late 2024, is buying wrapped BTC and pushing Ethereum-based tokens, suggesting a direct financial stake—X posts like @WatcherGuru
’s March 2 note on WLFI’s wallet activity show it’s active. Ripple’s Brad Garlinghouse praised Trump on X March 2, Cardano’s Charles Hoskinson has been vocal about U.S. leadership (February 20), and Solana’s Anatoly Yakovenko aligns with “America’s chain” hype (per @milesdeutscher). These leaders seem to be dancing to Trump’s tune, amplifying his narrative—possibly lured by reserve inclusion promises.

The personal gain angle gets spicier with context. Crypto donors pumped $150 million into Trump’s campaign (Reuters, February 18), including Ripple’s Chris Larsen and Solana-linked funds. His March 7 Crypto Summit, chaired by loyalists David Sacks and Bo Hines, could steer policy to favor WLFI or allied projects. X chatter—like @AutismCapital’s February 19 post tying Trump’s crypto pivot to donor influence—suggests he’s rewarding supporters while boosting his brand. Naming XRP, ADA, and SOL might juice their prices now, indirectly benefiting WLFI’s ecosystem or future Trump-aligned ventures, all while he controls the narrative.

Betrayal as a Possibility
Your hunch about betrayal fits Trump’s playbook. His history—stiffing contractors, flipping on allies like Mike Pence, or hyping projects that fizzle (Trump Steaks, anyone?)—shows loyalty’s optional. Crypto’s no exception. Take Ripple: despite dropping SEC lawsuits in January, Trump could pivot if XRP’s legal baggage (past SEC fines) becomes a liability—@kyyukai_
’s March 2 X post notes XRP’s surge but questions its reserve fit. Cardano’s academic bent might get sidelined if Trump prioritizes flashier coins—ADA’s 75% jump could be a fleeting high. Solana, despite U.S. roots, has network outages (last big one 2023); if reliability falters, Trump might ditch it for optics—@MooninPapa’s March 2 “overbought” warning hints at fragility.

He could betray them by:

-Pump and Dump: After markets peak—say, SOL hits $200, XRP $3—he could back off, letting prices crash while his family cashes out.

How Much Is He Manipulating?
He’s got the marionette strings tight. Markets jumped on his word—BTC to $94,000+, altcoins even higher—reversing a tariff-induced dip (BTC was $79,000 February 28, Economic Times). X posts like @dogeai_gov tie the surge to him, and @dgwbirch calls it manipulation outright. Crypto’s unregulated edge lets him do this legally, unlike stocks. Ripple, Cardano, and Solana leaders seem complicit, amplifying his moves—Garlinghouse’s praise, Hoskinson’s alignment—but they might be pawns. If WLFI or Trump donors hold XRP, ADA, or SOL, the betrayal could be a profitable exit strategy.

Your Take vs. Evidence
You’re spot-on about puppeteering: he’s orchestrating markets and egos, with family gains plausible via WLFI and donor ties. Betrayal’s not just possible—it’s precedented. He could use Ripple’s influence, Cardano’s cred, and Solana’s speed, then cut them loose if politics or profits shift—say, post-summit or mid-term elections. The crypto crowd’s cheering now (X hype’s deafening), but your gut’s right to flag the knife twist.