VIckado | Un post plein de bon sens, trouvé sur reddit, ca change un peu des posts ou chacun veux promouvoir son coin favori dans lequel il est investi (shill)
faut s'accrocher de bon matin, mais si vous vous ennuyez je trouve que c'est très intéressant à lire, y'a des liens sympa aussi.
Bon weekend
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If you buy what I tell you because of my conviction rather than yours, you won't know when to sell, hold, buy more because I'll be gone. Also Lots of people have figured out that they can shill their bags to make the price go up. Your chances of getting the actual super undervalued projects shilled to you by randos on here is a pretty low.
Instead I would recommend doing these things to build your own convictions and find those bags yourself:
1 Learn the shit out of bitcoin.
Read this book: https://www.lopp.net/pdf/princeton_bitcoin_book.pdf
Read this book: https://unglueit-files.s3.amazonaws [...] dcc28d.pdf
Try and figure out who satoshi was. Why did older versions of digital money fail? What is the byzantine generals problem? What literally is in a block (https://learnmeabitcoin.com/technical/block-header)? How is proof of work different from but also important to reaching consensus? Understand the scaling debate. Understand attack vectors and how it is resilient against them. Understanding this stuff may seem obvious to some or too technical to others but if you're going to be investing in any layer 1 chain then in my opinion you should know this stuff. Otherwise you're literally not going to understand the differences between the chains.
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2 Once you've done that for Bitcoin do the same for Ethereum.
Mastering ethereum, and some technical stuff. Understand the aspects decentralization that Ethereum gives up compared to bitcoin (e.g. Blockchain size). Understand all the attack vectors (51% type attack, hacking of smart contracts, coercion from a state power, etc). Is the level of decentralization sufficient to guard against other types of attacks (aka being shut down or core aspects being arbitrarily changed by those who run nodes/miners/holders). One of the hardest things is understanding what things actually make sense to have in smart contracts. How do you connect with outside data (oracles)? How the software of smart contracts allows anyone to interact with it permissionlessly? How that allows for composability between protocols all on the same network? What is a network effect and why does it matter in crypto? How does liquidity have network effects and why does that matter? What is a DAO? What is defi?
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3 Understand every single Defi protocol
Start here: https://www.coingecko.com/en/defi
Last cycle there was a lot of emphasis on layer 1 smart contract chains aka eth killers (which is still somewhat true), and people were into infrastructure (still somewhat true), but Defi is the clearly in the drivers seat this cycle. I mean essentially an entire parallel decentralized financial infrastructure is being/already built. I feel the importance of this hasn't really sunk in yet for a lot of people. Some reading here: https://research.stlouisfed.org/pub [...] al-markets
OK so once you've got a fairly good lay of the land in the defi world, here is the magic: start using etherscan to discover new tokens. Find a token that you think is really solid and go to the top holders of that coin (not the smart contracts the actual holders). See what other coins they are holding. Look at those coins, are they good, bad? You can also see if that account is actually yield farming/using defi in a sophisticated way by looking at transaction history which is a good sign. OK now extend out and look at the top holders of the second level tokens. Now go another level deep. Pretty soon you'll know just about every coin out there as there's tons of repeats. The real key is investigating these coins to see if they're good. By this time you probably have an idea of what types of coins you think are interesting. Go into the discords for any projects related to those. Many of those projects have open discussions on what they're researching and whats coming next. There's a metric ton of alpha in those channels. You can also get a sense of the OTHER projects that projects are talking about which is another good sign. And if they have an active and intelligent community supporting them not just a bunch of moonboys.
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4 Final notes: Valuation, cycles, trading. This is pretty basic but it's important to look market cap not price. Also it's important to look at fully diluted market cap rather than just current supply otherwise you'll accidentally invest in Serum and get dumped on eventually (lol). Note that retail can be really spastic so expect stupid coins to go up for stupid reasons like they have a low unit price and lots of ridiculous stuff to happen. I haven't found a way to benefit from that besides just being lucky.
Cycles are important. If you haven't studied the cyclic nature of crypto prices especially bitcoin please do so. There is a fairly discrete hype cycle: price increase, funding and suction of talent into the space, price crash, building phase, then slow price increase again, and repeat. If your timing is off it doesn't matter if you invested in all the best projects unless you hold through another cycle. I would also recommend for trading to just immediately take out your initial investment after your first 3 to 4x and just put it back into $. Now you literally are playing with house money and can survive any dips. Second I would only buy things which you have strong conviction on and essentially want to hold forever (I don't always follow this advice but its good if you can).
The real way to make strong gains is to hold for undervalued high quality projects for significant periods of time such that you hit an upcycle. We're likely (speculation) somewhere mid cycle (hopefully early mid) so there's still time. But you should think about multi year strategy. As we go up are you going to take certain amounts of profits. Are you ready to wait for a year long bear cycle and come back into the market when its low again? Or are you going to fomo in super hard later in the year after getting some gains now, take no profits, and get clobbered on tiny cap alts which may not survive.
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5 You made it this far I'll shill you some bags: Always hold a chunk of bitcoin and Ethereum, duh. You'll get why after completing steps 1 and 2. Grab a small amount of an assortment of "eth killers". It's likely a multichain world for a variety of reasons. Grab up some of the layer 1 chains. Rate them by #1 how much development activity they have (see DOT, ATOM) #2 how strong their team/community is and if the individuals in the organization are legit, #3 are they actually decentralized/the tech. (I personally like things like ALGO, AVAX). If that shit if straight up centralized or gets shilled 5 millions times a day then maybe there's something wrong, but thats just me. OK but you already knew about those and they're kinda boring. Next I would have exposure to a few of the defi centerpieces because liquidity network effects are a thing. Any of the top 5 to 10 defi really. And then the stuff you're really interested in is the micro cap where you can get those massive gains. Again use etherscan to find these projects and also try to be on top of launches/andre tweets. There's people out there building decentralized organizations which allow you to do decentralized exchange of yield bearing assets (yearn). Think for a second how crazy that is. You already have your tokens tied up in yearn so they're automatically being used for various strategies to assess arb and other returns from already decentralized exchanges and loaning/decentralized central banking procotols etc. Then instead of having to lock them/unlock them you create a decentralized market for swapping those specific assets, which by the way you can then yield farm/stake. It's just so much more open, more sophisticated, more awesome, than people realize yet. So if you find that swap coin you've found my favorite bag and it'll the $$$ will snow on you. I also really like automated farming strategies where you can leave tokens in vaults and community wisdom will move them around/farm for you and get you APY for doing nothing. It's like wall street bets wisdom of the crowd shit on steroids with open source code, protocols, voting, and some of this shit is still worth like 10 to 20M ( and a few months ago a lot of these were <10M). Those kids would Yax if they got into this one early. APY finance is dope. Index is dope. Go buy some NFT shit if you want I don't get that stuff at all. I bought a crypokitty years ago and I'm not holding my breath for anyone to want that shit off me but hey lots of smart people are into NFTs so maybe thats a thing (I'm still one of the skeptics). Although I do like decentraland. I also think there's a bunch of non defi stuff that is still worth looking at, maybe especially after this cycle is over. Maybe it's just their time next cycle ya know? Secret network is dope. Scaling shit? Who knows. Go swap tokens using metamask if gas is even cheap enough just in case they airdrop. Same for dydx. Good luck out there kiddos. There's tons I forgot to mention. Sorry If i didn't shill your coins.
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